February 2010
Rushing for a result
Rahimullah Yusufzai
 
'There's been enough fighting'
David Watts
 
Body blow to CIA
George Friedman and
Scott Stewart
 
'Bravest of the brave'
David Watts
 
Gangtok:
In Himalaya's Lap
 
The mistrust deepens
Inder Malhotra
 
New sense of purpose
G Parthasarathy
 
In search of peace
Kuldip Nayar
 
Subhash Chopra’s ‘Partition, Jihad & Peace’
Tom Deegan
 
Securing the bomb
Shyam Bhatia
 
Well-deserved success
Andrew Small
 
Charulata Hogg, a South Asia expert at the Catham House, on the Maoists of Nepal
Shyam Bhatia
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
 

February 2010

Delhi-Dhaka Ties

New sense of purpose

The two neighbours are reaching out to each other like never before.

By G Parthasarathy

ALL SMILES: Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina (left) being received by Indian ruling combine's Chairperson Sonia Gandhi in New Delhi January 11

New Delhi rolled out the red carpet mid-January to welcome Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina Wajed as its first State guest of this decade. Hasina's Awami League swept to a decisive electoral victory in December 2008, winning 230 seats and securing a two-thirds parliamentary majority. Ever since she was sworn in, Hasina has not only faced challenges from right-wing parties including not only the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) of Khaleda Zia, but also the fundamentalists of the Jamat-e-Islami (JeI). The greatest challenge that she overcame in her first year was the mutiny by the paramilitary Bangladesh Rifles (BDR), which erupted on February 25, 2009. The mutineers killed their chief, Major General Shakil Ahmed, his wife and dozens of others. Hasina acted deftly in getting a large number of the mutineers to surrender and then permitted the army to crack down using tanks and heavy weapons.

India reacted decisively to the mutiny. It sealed its borders with Bangladesh and forced back mutineers who were attempting to cross over. Sheikh Hasina reciprocated India's assistance by forcing the surrender of separatist ULFA leader Arabinda Rajkhowa, its deputy military commander Raju Barua and others operating from safe havens in Bangladesh.

 
 

The earlier Khaleda Zia government had supported and provided safe havens to radical Islamic and separatist groups promoting violence in India. North-eastern Indian separatist groups now know that they cannot consider Bangladesh a safe haven. Hasina has also cracked down on terrorist groups like the Jamat-ul-Mujahideen, the Harkat-ul-Jihad-ul-Islami and the Lashkar- e-Taiba and acted to pre-empt cross border attacks on India and on the Indian High Commission in Dhaka. She appears determined to restore the primacy of the moderate Sufi Islamic traditions in her country and made it a point to visit the revered Sufi shrine in Ajmer during her four-day visit to India.

One of the major irritants in relations between India and Bangladesh has been the unresolved differences on demarcating the border. Under the 1974 Indira-Mujib agreement, India is required to return around 111 enclaves to Bangladesh and in return gets 51 enclaves from Bangladesh. It took 18 years to lease a small corridor of land near Tin Bigha to Bangladesh, which New Delhi was required to do under the 1974 agreement. Barely 6.5 kilometres out of the 4,096 kilometre land border remain undemarcated. Sheikh Hasina secured agreement in New Delhi to move to expeditiously resolve these differences. A political consensus needs to be built in West Bengal to resolve the remaining issues of 'adverse possessions' and enclaves, which have bedevilled relations through the past four decades. The dialogue to settle this issue is set to be revived.

The most crucial issue for India is 'connectivity', which would involve developing road, rail and river communications facilities in Bangladesh, for promoting access to its landlocked north-eastern states. By extending a Line of Credit of $1 billion for infrastructural development in Bangladesh, India has cleared the way for the development of road and rail communications linking its landlocked north-eastern states with the rest of the country. Bangladesh, in turn, would earn substantial revenues for use of its communications facilities by India. New Delhi can also now invest in the development and use of the Chittagong and Mongla ports, in return for providing access for goods from Nepal and Bhutan to these ports. It has been agreed that India would provide assistance for the Akhaura-Agartala rail link, which provides it access to its distant north-eastern state of Tripura. India will also meet Bangladesh's immediate energy requirements by supplying 250 MW of electrical power. Bangladesh presently faces a shortage of around 1800 MW of power and there are indications that in course of time it would need around 1000 MW of power from India. These agreements should be implemented expeditiously, as bureaucratic inertia and rigidity have often exacerbated misunderstandings in India's relations with Bangladesh.

Two highly emotive issues in Bangladesh — the sharing of the waters of the River Teesta and the construction by India of the Tipaimukh Dam across the Barak River in Assam — were addressed during Sheikh Hasina's visit. The sharing of the Teesta Rivers could be addressed as Bangladesh has agreed to 'Joint Hydrological Observations' by both countries so that future actions are taken on the basis of realities and not unfounded fears. The two neighbours should now be able to agree to mechanisms to address mutual concerns on this issue, as they did in resolving the Farakka tangle. Considerable effort will also be needed to convince public opinion in Bangladesh that their fears of Tipaimukh dam causing scarcity, silting and floods in the country are ill-founded and politically motivated.

Sections of the Bangladesh Army and its intelligence apparatus have traditionally been averse to a close relationship with India. There appears to have been some change in this mindset in the aftermath of the BDR mutiny. New Delhi appears ready to strengthen military ties with Bangladesh and facilitate greater participation of the Bangladesh military in international peace keeping to discourage Bonapartist ambitions.

The political mood in Bangladesh can be volatile and one could well see a return to the earlier era of supporting terrorist and separatist elements which are anti-Indian, if Sheikh Hasina falters and cannot fulfil the growing aspirations of her people. Given the determination of Hasina to deal firmly with radical Islamic elements, India would be well advised to secure greater participation by the international community in the economic development of its eastern neighbour.

. top